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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Nov 22, 2024 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Will ETH or SOL reach all-time high first?·#500149

Will ETH or SOL reach all-time high first?

No
Final answerResolved Nov 22, 2024

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.

“Will ETH or SOL reach all-time high first?” resolved No on Nov 22, 2024, after $498.0K traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedNov 22, 2024
Volume$498.0K
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Will ETH or SOL reach all-time high first?
Market imageNo
Last observed Yes0.05% (0.05¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 44.5% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 45-point move.

Yes 0.1¢ALL-99.9%
0¢12¢25¢37¢50¢10/2310/2811/211/611/1111/1511/1911/22Peak convictionSettled

Last observed Yes

0.05% (0.05¢)

Settled result

No

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now77.5%-7.0%$356.0KTrade on Polyguana →Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Trending now2.25%+0.1%$304.0KTrade on Polyguana →Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.35%0.0%$278.6KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Benchmark and filing context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Nov 22, 2024No settlement with $498.0K traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.5¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

November 22, 2024 at 6:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price44.5% (44.5¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Same entity: EthereumNo

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

What price will Ethereum hit in 2025? · $18.5M traded · Jan 1, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: EthereumNo

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ethereum all time high in 2024? · $19.5M traded · Jan 1, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: Ethereum
Spike signal
44 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.5¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
36 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle14.5% (14.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle0.05% (0.05¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price0.05% (0.05¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score14 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.5¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
No

Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?

What price will Ethereum hit in January? · $13.2M traded · Feb 1, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: EthereumNo

Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?

What price will Ethereum hit in February? · $8.8M traded · Mar 1, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: EthereumNo

Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?

What price will Ethereum hit in 2025? · $10.0M traded · Jan 1, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: EthereumNo

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?

What price will Ethereum hit in February? · $8.0M traded · Mar 1, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: EthereumNo

Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?

What price will Ethereum hit in 2025? · $9.5M traded · Jan 1, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive