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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Jul 12, 2026 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·ITF Laval: Keegan Rice vs Kenta Miyoshi·#2893611

Set 1 Winner: Rice vs Miyoshi

Yes
Final answerResolved Jul 12, 2026

A close one — the market was only 47.5% confident in Yes at the close.

“Set 1 Winner: Rice vs Miyoshi” resolved Yes on Jul 12, 2026, after $0 traded on Polymarket. It is part of the ITF Laval: Keegan Rice vs Kenta Miyoshi event family.

ResolvedJul 12, 2026
Volume$0
Archive coverageCheckpoints + book
Open original marketOpen resolution sourceBrowse related resolved
Set 1 Winner: Rice vs Miyoshi
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes47.5% (47.5¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

A full price path was not preserved for this market, but the settlement record is firm: it resolved Yes, with $0 traded before close.

Archive movement view

Observed checkpoints

Stored checkpoints still sketch the close

This market no longer has a full preserved curve, but the archive still keeps the last meaningful checkpoints into settlement.

Final outcome

Yes

Resolved Jul 12, 2026

Closing spread

0.9¢

Settlement-adjacent bid-ask quality

Closing liquidity

$0

Last preserved book depth

Source anchor

Original Polymarket market

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

0%50%100%

First archived

47.5%

Earliest preserved observation

24h before

47.5%

Stored checkpoint one day before settlement

Last observed

47.5%

Closest archived price before settlement

Settled

100%

Final recorded outcome: Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Trending now17.5%-1.0%$343.0KTrade on Polyguana →Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Trending now36.5%-17.0%$328.3KTrade on Polyguana →Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.55%-0.2%$162.5KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Schedule and result context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Jul 12, 2026Yes settlement with $0 traded before close.
Closing book preservedOrder book

The archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.9¢ spread and $0 closing liquidity.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

July 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

UMA oracle

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price47.5% (47.5¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Set Handicap: Miyoshi (-1.5) vs Rice (+1.5)
Same contract familyYes

Set Handicap: Miyoshi (-1.5) vs Rice (+1.5)

ITF Laval: Keegan Rice vs Kenta Miyoshi · $3 traded · Jul 12, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyYes

Keegan Rice vs. Kenta Miyoshi: Total Sets O/U 2.5

ITF Laval: Keegan Rice vs Kenta Miyoshi · $2 traded · Jul 12, 2026

Open resolved page
Spike signal
No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.
Spread
0.9¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
$0Last archived liquidity level before settlement.
Curve
MissingOnly checkpoints or settlement records are available.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle47.5% (47.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
Last observed price47.5% (47.5¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty52.5%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score0 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing liquidity$0ObservedLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Closing spread0.9¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourceUMA oracleObservedThis market carried UMA-linked metadata, but the archive did not retain a market-specific oracle URL.Open source
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same contract family
No

Rice vs. Miyoshi: Match O/U 23.5

ITF Laval: Keegan Rice vs Kenta Miyoshi · $1 traded · Jul 12, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Rice vs. Miyoshi: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

ITF Laval: Keegan Rice vs Kenta Miyoshi · $0 traded · Jul 12, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Rice vs. Miyoshi: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

ITF Laval: Keegan Rice vs Kenta Miyoshi · $0 traded · Jul 12, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Rice vs. Miyoshi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

ITF Laval: Keegan Rice vs Kenta Miyoshi · $0 traded · Jul 12, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: RiceNo

UAB Blazers vs. Rice

UAB Blazers vs. Rice · $1.4M traded · Nov 9, 2025

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive