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ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Jul 11, 2026 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Overwatch: T1 vs ZETA DIVISION (BO4) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Playoffs·#2870789

Overwatch: T1 vs ZETA DIVISION - Game 1 Winner

No
Final answerResolved Jul 11, 2026

A close one — the market was only 53.5% confident in No at the close.

“Overwatch: T1 vs ZETA DIVISION - Game 1 Winner” resolved No on Jul 11, 2026, after $0 traded on Polymarket. It is part of the Overwatch: T1 vs ZETA DIVISION (BO4) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Playoffs event family.

ResolvedJul 11, 2026
Volume$0
Archive coverageCurve + book
Open original marketOpen resolution sourceBrowse related resolved
Overwatch: T1 vs ZETA DIVISION - Game 1 Winner
Market imageNo
Last observed Yes46.5% (46.5¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market priced No as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered — this was consensus confirmation, not a late swing.

Yes 46.5¢ALL-7.0%
Yes46.5¢No53.5¢
46¢48¢50¢52¢54¢7/107/117/11Settled

Last observed Yes

46.5% (46.5¢)

Settled result

No

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.35%+0.1%$397.9KTrade on Polyguana →Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Trending now41%-19.5%$273.5KTrade on Polyguana →Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Trending now16.5%-1.0%$234.0KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Jul 11, 2026No settlement with $0 traded before close.
Closing book preservedOrder book

The archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 10¢ spread and $0 closing liquidity.

Spike signal
No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.
03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

July 11, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

UMA oracle

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price50% (50¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
Same topic: EsportsYes

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

LoL Worlds 2025 Winner · $7.8M traded · Nov 9, 2025

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Same topic: EsportsYes

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) · $28.2M traded · Nov 9, 2025

Open resolved page
Same topic: Esports
Spread
10¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
$0Last archived liquidity level before settlement.
Curve
3 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle50% (50¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
Last observed price46.5% (46.5¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty53.5%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score3 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing liquidity$0ObservedLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Closing spread10¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourceUMA oracleObservedThis market carried UMA-linked metadata, but the archive did not retain a market-specific oracle URL.Open source
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
No

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Browse the full resolved archive