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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Jul 11, 2026 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Rainbow Six Siege: TYLOO vs Kingzone (BO3) - CN League Stage 1 Playoffs·#2870180

Game Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Kingzone (+1.5)

No
Final answerResolved Jul 11, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.55% confident in No just before settlement.

“Game Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Kingzone (+1.5)” resolved No on Jul 11, 2026, after $130 traded on Polymarket. It is part of the Rainbow Six Siege: TYLOO vs Kingzone (BO3) - CN League Stage 1 Playoffs event family.

ResolvedJul 11, 2026
Volume$130
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketOpen resolution sourceBrowse related resolved
Game Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Kingzone (+1.5)
Market imageNo
Last observed Yes0.45% (0.45¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 34% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 34-point move.

Yes 0.4¢ALL-98.5%
0¢10¢19¢29¢38¢7/107/117/117/11Peak convictionSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

0.45% (0.45¢)

Settled result

No

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.35%+0.1%$397.9KTrade on Polyguana →Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Trending now39.5%-18.0%$271.7KTrade on Polyguana →Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Trending now16.5%-1.0%$233.4KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Jul 11, 2026No settlement with $130 traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.9¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal
34 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

July 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

UMA oracle

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price31% (31¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Same entity: TylooYes

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 · $1.9M traded · Jun 4, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: TylooNo

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 · $1.4M traded · Jun 8, 2026

Open resolved page
Spread
0.9¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
4 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle31% (31¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle0.45% (0.45¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price0.45% (0.45¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.55%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score31 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.9¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourceUMA oracleObservedThis market carried UMA-linked metadata, but the archive did not retain a market-specific oracle URL.Open source
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same topic: EsportsYes

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

LoL Worlds 2025 Winner · $7.8M traded · Nov 9, 2025

Open resolved page
Same topic: EsportsYes

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) · $28.2M traded · Nov 9, 2025

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Same topic: EsportsNo

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner · $2.4M traded · Jun 20, 2026

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Same topic: EsportsYes

Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner · $1.7M traded · Jun 21, 2026

Open resolved page
Same topic: EsportsNo

Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner · $1.7M traded · Jun 20, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive