How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on Jul 11, 2026 on Polymarket. Event family: New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx.

Did the prediction market see it coming?

Yes — prediction markets priced Yes as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered.

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

Yes — Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5) (Jul 11, 2026)

Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)

Yes

Final answerResolved Jul 11, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)” resolved Yes on Jul 11, 2026, after $5.6K traded on Polymarket. It is part of the New York Liberty vs. Minnesota Lynx event family.

ResolvedJul 11, 2026

Volume$5.6K

Archive coverageCurve + book

Movement

Consensus lock into resolution

The market priced Yes as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered — this was consensus confirmation, not a late swing.

Yes 100.0¢ALL+0.0%

Last observed Yes

99.95% (99.95¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.35%+0.1%$397.9KTrade on Polyguana →Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Trending now39.5%-18.0%$271.7KTrade on Polyguana →Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Trending now16.5%-1.0%$233.4KTrade on Polyguana →

Context

Public context

The archived market shows broad crowd agreement into settlement rather than a late information shock. $5.6K traded before settlement, so the useful context is the resolved outcome, official source path, and related market family.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

ConsensusThe market was already one-sided before settlement, so absence of a spike is part of the record.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

Jul 11, 2026Yes settlement with $5.6K traded before close.

Closing book preservedOrder book

The archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and $113.3K closing liquidity.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

July 11, 2026 at 10:15 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

UMA oracle

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price99.95% (99.95¢)Observed

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.