How did this market resolve?

It resolved 50/50 on Jul 10, 2026 on Polymarket. Event family: Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic.

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

50/50 — Set 4 Winner: Sinner vs Djokovic (Jul 10, 2026)

Set 4 Winner: Sinner vs Djokovic

50/50

Final answerResolved Jul 10, 2026

This market settled 50/50 on Jul 10, 2026.

“Set 4 Winner: Sinner vs Djokovic” resolved 50/50 on Jul 10, 2026, after $540 traded on Polymarket. It is part of the Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic event family.

ResolvedJul 10, 2026

Volume$540

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

A full price path was not preserved for this market, but the settlement record is firm: it resolved 50/50, with $540 traded before close.

50.5¢ALL+1.0%

Last observed Yes

50.5% (50.5¢)

Settled result

50/50

This question is still liveThe archive shows how it settled — these markets are trading now.

Sinner vs. Djokovic: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Same event99.95%+61.5%$0Trade on Polyguana →Sinner vs. Djokovic: Set 3 Games O/U 9.5Same event99.55%+49.5%$0Trade on Polyguana →

Context

Schedule and result context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

Jul 10, 202650/50 settlement with $540 traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal

No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

July 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

UMA oracle

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price50% (50¢)Observed

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.