How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on Jul 2, 2026 on Polymarket. Event family: Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Patrick Kypson.

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

Set 3 Winner: Fritz vs Kypson — Resolved market

Set 3 Winner: Fritz vs Kypson

Yes

Final answerResolved Jul 2, 2026

The crowd called it — 83.5% confident in Yes just before settlement.

Outcome: Yes on Jul 2, 2026. Event family: Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Patrick Kypson. $8 traded before settlement. Question: Set 3 Winner: Fritz vs Kypson.

ResolvedJul 2, 2026

Volume$8

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 45% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 55-point move.

Yes 83.5¢ALL+85.6%

Last observed Yes

83.5% (83.5¢)

Settled result

Yes

How accurate was the crowd? The crowd called it — 83.5% confident in Yes just before settlement.

Venues

Polymarket and Kalshi coverage

Polymarket remains the settlement source for this page. Kalshi appears here only where Vanga has a high-confidence comparable market.

Best venueKalshi

Spread+50.0 pp

Coverage2 venues

SnapshotJul 3, 2026

Fritz

Confidence 100% · Kalshi finalized

-50.0 pp

Polymarket100% (100¢)Kalshi KXATPSETWINNER-26JUL02FRIKYP-3-FRI50% (50¢)

Context

Schedule and result context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

Jul 2, 2026Yes settlement with $8 traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

July 2, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

UMA oracle

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price45% (45¢)Observed

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.