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Resolved answer·Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers - Player Props·#2707145

Dansby Swanson: Home Runs O/U 0.5

No
Final answerResolved Jun 28, 2026

A close one — the market was only 50.5% confident in No at the close.

Outcome: No on Jun 28, 2026. Event family: Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers - Player Props. $4 traded before settlement. Question: Dansby Swanson: Home Runs O/U 0.5.

ResolvedJun 28, 2026
Volume$4
Archive coverageCurve + book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Dansby Swanson: Home Runs O/U 0.5
Market imageNo
Last observed Yes49.5% (49.5¢)
01Section 01 of 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 49.5% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 50-point move.

Yes 49.5¢ALL+312.5%
Yes49.5¢No50.5¢
7¢29¢50¢72¢93¢6/276/276/28Peak convictionSettled

Last observed Yes

49.5% (49.5¢)

Settled result

No

How accurate was the crowd? A close one — the market was only 50.5% confident in No at the close.

02Section 02 of 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Jun 28, 2026No settlement with $4 traded before close.
Closing book preservedOrder book

The archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 1¢ spread and $0 closing liquidity.

Spike signal
38 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
03Section 03 of 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

June 28, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price12% (12¢)Observed
04Section 04 of 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?
Same entity: Milwaukee BrewersNo

Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?

World Series Champion 2025 · $1.7M traded · Oct 18, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: Chicago CubsNo

Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?

World Series Champion 2025 · $1.2M traded · Oct 12, 2025

Open resolved page
Liquidity
$0Last archived liquidity level before settlement.
Curve
3 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle12% (12¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle49.5% (49.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price49.5% (49.5¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty50.5%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score38 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing liquidity$0ObservedLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Closing spread1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same entity: Chicago CubsYes

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs · $2.4M traded · Jun 5, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Chicago CubsNo

Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals · $2.1M traded · Jun 1, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Milwaukee BrewersYes

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics · $2.1M traded · Jun 9, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Chicago CubsYes

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs · $2.0M traded · Jun 8, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Milwaukee BrewersYes

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers · $1.7M traded · Jun 13, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive