How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on Jun 28, 2026 on Polymarket. Event family: Highest temperature in Houston on June 27?

Did the prediction market see it coming?

Yes — prediction markets priced No as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered.

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. National Weather Service is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 27? — Resolved market

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 27?

Final answerResolved Jun 28, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.

Outcome: No on Jun 28, 2026. Event family: Highest temperature in Houston on June 27? $4.5K traded before settlement. Question: Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 27?

ResolvedJun 28, 2026

Volume$4.5K

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

Consensus lock into resolution

The market priced No as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered — this was consensus confirmation, not a late swing.

Yes 0.1¢ALL-85.7%

Yes0.1¢No100.0¢

Last observed Yes

0.05% (0.05¢)

Settled result

How accurate was the crowd? The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.

Context

Official observation context

The archived market shows broad crowd agreement into settlement rather than a late information shock. $4.5K traded before settlement, so the useful context is the resolved outcome, official source path, and related market family.

National Weather Servicesource linked

Official U.S. forecast and weather-observation source for weather-resolution context.

Open weather source

Crowd state

ConsensusThe market was already one-sided before settlement, so absence of a spike is part of the record.

Public anchor

National Weather ServiceOfficial U.S. forecast and weather-observation source for weather-resolution context.

Resolved

Jun 28, 2026No settlement with $4.5K traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal

No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

June 28, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price0.35% (0.35¢)Observed

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