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Resolved answer·ITF Porto: Tiago Torres vs Joao Domingues·#2678587

Torres vs. Domingues: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Yes
Final answerResolved Jun 25, 2026

A close one — the market was only 51% confident in Yes at the close.

Outcome: Yes on Jun 25, 2026. Event family: ITF Porto: Tiago Torres vs Joao Domingues. $15 traded before settlement. Question: Torres vs. Domingues: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5.

ResolvedJun 25, 2026
Volume$15
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Torres vs. Domingues: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes51% (51¢)
01Section 01 of 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 36.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 64-point move.

Yes 51.0¢ALL+39.7%
Yes51.0¢No49.0¢
28¢39¢50¢61¢72¢6/256/256/25Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

51% (51¢)

Settled result

Yes

How accurate was the crowd? A close one — the market was only 51% confident in Yes at the close.

02Section 02 of 04Context

Context

Schedule and result context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Jun 25, 2026Yes settlement with $15 traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal
31 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
03Section 03 of 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

June 25, 2026 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price36.5% (36.5¢)Observed
04Section 04 of 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

ITF Porto: Mert Alkaya vs Carl Emil Overbeck
Same entity: Itf PortoYes

ITF Porto: Mert Alkaya vs Carl Emil Overbeck

ITF Porto: Mert Alkaya vs Carl Emil Overbeck · $1.1K traded · Jun 28, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Itf PortoNo

Alkaya vs. Overbeck: Match O/U 21.5

ITF Porto: Mert Alkaya vs Carl Emil Overbeck · $17 traded · Jun 28, 2026

Open resolved page
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
3 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle36.5% (36.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle51% (51¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price51% (51¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty51%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score15 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same entity: Itf Porto
No

Set Handicap: Alkaya (-1.5) vs Overbeck (+1.5)

ITF Porto: Mert Alkaya vs Carl Emil Overbeck · $15 traded · Jun 28, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Itf PortoYes

Set 2 Winner: Alkaya vs Overbeck

ITF Porto: Mert Alkaya vs Carl Emil Overbeck · $15 traded · Jun 28, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Itf PortoYes

ITF Men Porto: Completed Match: Mert Alkaya vs Carl Emil Overbeck

ITF Porto: Mert Alkaya vs Carl Emil Overbeck · $0 traded · Jun 28, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Itf PortoYes

Alkaya vs. Overbeck: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5

ITF Porto: Mert Alkaya vs Carl Emil Overbeck · $0 traded · Jun 28, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Itf PortoNo

Alkaya vs. Overbeck: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5

ITF Porto: Mert Alkaya vs Carl Emil Overbeck · $0 traded · Jun 28, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive