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Resolved answer·Valorant: ARETE vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season·#2628895

Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5

No
Final answerResolved Jun 26, 2026

A surprise — the market leaned against No (26% confidence) right before it settled.

Outcome: No on Jun 26, 2026. Event family: Valorant: ARETE vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season. $2.0K traded before settlement. Question: Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5.

ResolvedJun 26, 2026
Volume$2.0K
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5
Market imageNo
Last observed Yes74% (74¢)
01Section 01 of 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 74% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 74-point move.

Yes 74.0¢ALL+48.0%
45¢53¢61¢69¢77¢6/216/226/236/246/256/256/26Peak convictionSettled

Last observed Yes

74% (74¢)

Settled result

No

How accurate was the crowd? A surprise — the market leaned against No (26% confidence) right before it settled.

02Section 02 of 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Jun 26, 2026No settlement with $2.0K traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03Section 03 of 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

June 26, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price50% (50¢)Observed
04Section 04 of 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports
Same entity: ValorantYes

Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports

Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports · $1.6M traded · Sep 25, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: ValorantNo

Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffs · $1.5M traded · Jun 21, 2026

Open resolved page
Spike signal
26 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
19 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle51% (51¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle74% (74¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price74% (74¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty74%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score23 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same entity: ValorantYes

Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs

Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs · $54.9K traded · Jul 1, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: ValorantNo

Valorant: Mandatory vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner

Valorant: Mandatory vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs · $17.1K traded · Jul 1, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: ValorantYes

Valorant: Joblife vs MIR - Map 1 Winner

Valorant: Joblife vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs · $13.7K traded · Jul 1, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: ValorantNo

Valorant: REBORN vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs

Valorant: REBORN vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs · $11.6K traded · Jul 1, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: ValorantNo

Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs NAVI Junior - Map 1 Winner

Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs · $7.6K traded · Jul 1, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive