How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on Jun 21, 2026 on Polymarket. Event family: Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics.

Did the prediction market see it coming?

Yes — prediction markets priced No as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered.

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

Spread: Athletics (-2.5) — Resolved market

Spread: Athletics (-2.5)

Final answerResolved Jun 21, 2026

The crowd called it — 66.5% confident in No just before settlement.

Outcome: No on Jun 21, 2026. Event family: Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics. $2.5K traded before settlement. Question: Spread: Athletics (-2.5).

ResolvedJun 21, 2026

Volume$2.5K

Archive coverageCurve + book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market priced No as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered — this was consensus confirmation, not a late swing.

Yes 33.5¢ALL+1.5%

Yes33.5¢No66.5¢

Last observed Yes

33.5% (33.5¢)

Settled result

How accurate was the crowd? The crowd called it — 66.5% confident in No just before settlement.

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

Jun 21, 2026No settlement with $2.5K traded before close.

Closing book preservedOrder book

The archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and $0 closing liquidity.

Spike signal

No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.

Spread

0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

June 21, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price33% (33¢)Observed

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Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.