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Resolved answer·Valorant: Mandatory vs AlQadsiah Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group A·#2593757

Valorant: Mandatory vs AlQadsiah Esports - Map 1 Winner

Yes
Final answerResolved Jun 23, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

Outcome: Yes on Jun 23, 2026. Event family: Valorant: Mandatory vs AlQadsiah Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group A. $695 traded before settlement. Question: Valorant: Mandatory vs AlQadsiah Esports - Map 1 Winner.

ResolvedJun 23, 2026
Volume$695
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Valorant: Mandatory vs AlQadsiah Esports - Map 1 Winner
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes99.95% (99.95¢)
01Section 01 of 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 45.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 54-point move.

Yes 100.0¢ALL+99.9%
Yes100.0¢No0.0¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢6/186/206/206/216/226/236/23Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

99.95% (99.95¢)

Settled result

Yes

How accurate was the crowd? The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

02Section 02 of 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Jun 23, 2026Yes settlement with $695 traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03Section 03 of 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

June 23, 2026 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price50% (50¢)Observed
04Section 04 of 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?
Same entity: EsportsNo

Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?

LoL Worlds 2025 Winner · $1.7M traded · Nov 2, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: ValorantYes

Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports

Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports · $1.6M traded · Sep 25, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: Esports
Spike signal
54 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
22 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle52.5% (52.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score47 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Yes

LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs · $3.3M traded · May 25, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: EsportsYes

LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs · $2.1M traded · Jun 7, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: ValorantNo

Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffs

Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffs · $1.5M traded · Jun 21, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: EsportsNo

LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)

LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) · $6.1M traded · Oct 30, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: EsportsYes

LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season · $1.5M traded · May 10, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive