How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on Jun 17, 2026 on Polymarket. Event family: Royan: Max Alcala Gurri vs Ryo Tabata.

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

Set Handicap: Tabata (-1.5) vs Gurri (+1.5) — Resolved market

Set Handicap: Tabata (-1.5) vs Gurri (+1.5)

Final answerResolved Jun 17, 2026

The crowd called it — 95% confident in No just before settlement.

Outcome: No on Jun 17, 2026. Event family: Royan: Max Alcala Gurri vs Ryo Tabata. $78 traded before settlement. Question: Set Handicap: Tabata (-1.5) vs Gurri (+1.5).

ResolvedJun 17, 2026

Volume$78

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 50.5% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 51-point move.

Yes 5.0¢ALL-90.1%

Yes5.0¢No95.0¢

Last observed Yes

5% (5¢)

Settled result

How accurate was the crowd? The crowd called it — 95% confident in No just before settlement.

Context

Schedule and result context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

Jun 17, 2026No settlement with $78 traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal

46 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.

Spread

0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

June 17, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price50.5% (50.5¢)Observed

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.