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Resolved answer·Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Jun 15 at ___?·#2524785

Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $390-$395 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?

No
Final answerResolved Jun 18, 2026

A close one — the market was only 64% confident in No at the close.

Outcome: No on Jun 18, 2026. Event family: Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Jun 15 at ___? $297 traded before settlement. Question: Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $390-$395 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?

ResolvedJun 18, 2026
Volume$297
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketOpen filing sourceBrowse related resolved
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $390-$395 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?
Market imageNo
Last observed Yes36% (36¢)
01Section 01 of 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 50% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 50-point move.

Yes 36.0¢ALL-28.0%
Yes36.0¢No64.0¢
1¢26¢50¢75¢99¢6/136/146/156/166/166/176/186/18Peak convictionSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

36% (36¢)

Settled result

No

How accurate was the crowd? A close one — the market was only 64% confident in No at the close.

02Section 02 of 04Context

Context

Benchmark and filing context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Official finance referencesource linked

Official filings and issuer records are preferred over market chatter for finance-resolution context.

Open filing source
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Official finance referenceOfficial filings and issuer records are preferred over market chatter for finance-resolution context.
Resolved
Jun 18, 2026No settlement with $297 traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03Section 03 of 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

June 18, 2026 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price50% (50¢)Observed
04Section 04 of 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Same entity: TeslaYes

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...? · $12.2M traded · Feb 2, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: TeslaNo

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Largest Company end of 2025? · $12.1M traded · Jan 1, 2026

Open resolved page
Spike signal
44 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
24 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle8% (8¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle36% (36¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price36% (36¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty64%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score28 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Public contextOfficial finance referenceObservedOfficial filings and issuer records are preferred over market chatter for finance-resolution context.Open filing source
Same entity: TeslaNo

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Largest Company end of November? · $11.6M traded · Dec 1, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: TeslaNo

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July? · $11.9M traded · Jul 5, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: TeslaNo

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Largest Company end of March? · $3.7M traded · Mar 31, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: TeslaNo

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Largest Company End of February? · $4.3M traded · Feb 28, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: TeslaNo

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Largest Company end of April? · $2.4M traded · Apr 30, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive