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Resolved answer·Ethereum above ___ on June 19?·#2518181

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 19?

Yes
Final answerResolved Jun 19, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

Outcome: Yes on Jun 19, 2026. Event family: Ethereum above ___ on June 19? $122.1K traded before settlement. Question: Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 19?

ResolvedJun 19, 2026
Volume$122.1K
Archive coverageCurve + book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 19?
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes99.95% (99.95¢)
01Section 01 of 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 29.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 71-point move.

Yes 100.0¢ALL+24.9%
25¢43¢62¢81¢100¢6/186/186/186/196/196/196/19Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

99.95% (99.95¢)

Settled result

Yes

How accurate was the crowd? The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

02Section 02 of 04Context

Context

Benchmark and filing context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Jun 19, 2026Yes settlement with $122.1K traded before close.
Closing book preservedOrder book

The archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and $123.4K closing liquidity.

03Section 03 of 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

June 19, 2026 at 4:15 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price80% (80¢)Observed
04Section 04 of 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Same entity: JuneYes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · $60.7M traded · May 9, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: JuneYes

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Fed Decision in June? · $43.1M traded · Jun 17, 2026

Open resolved page
Spike signal
70 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
$123.4KLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Curve
36 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle41.5% (41.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle78% (78¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score58 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing liquidity$123.4KObservedLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same entity: JuneNo

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Fed Decision in June? · $37.9M traded · Jun 17, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: JuneNo

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Fed Decision in June? · $31.0M traded · Jun 17, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: JuneNo

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Fed Decision in June? · $30.9M traded · Jun 17, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: JuneNo

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Fed Decision in June? · $21.7M traded · Jun 17, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: JuneNo

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?

Fed decision in June? · $29.6M traded · Jun 18, 2025

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive