Did the prediction market see it coming?

Yes — prediction markets priced No as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered.

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

Game 2: Ends in Daytime? — Resolved market

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Final answerResolved Jun 11, 2026

A close one — the market was only 50% confident in No at the close.

Outcome: No on Jun 11, 2026. Event family: Dota 2: Phenomenon vs NA Last Hope (BO3) - The International North America Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs. $5 traded before settlement. Question: Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

ResolvedJun 11, 2026

Volume$5

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market priced No as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered — this was consensus confirmation, not a late swing.

Yes 50.0¢ALL+0.0%

Yes50.0¢No50.0¢

Last observed Yes

50% (50¢)

Settled result

How accurate was the crowd? A close one — the market was only 50% confident in No at the close.

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

Jun 11, 2026No settlement with $5 traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 19.9¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal

No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.

Spread

19.9¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

June 11, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price50% (50¢)Observed

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.