How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on Jun 8, 2026 on Polymarket. Event family: Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan.

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

Set 1 Winner: Onclin vs Marozsan — Resolved market

Set 1 Winner: Onclin vs Marozsan

Yes

Final answerResolved Jun 8, 2026

A close one — the market was only 42% confident in Yes at the close.

Outcome: Yes on Jun 8, 2026. Event family: Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan. $2.1K traded before settlement. Question: Set 1 Winner: Onclin vs Marozsan.

ResolvedJun 8, 2026

Volume$2.1K

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 40% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 60-point move.

Yes 42.0¢ALL-34.4%

Yes42.0¢No58.0¢

Last observed Yes

42% (42¢)

Settled result

Yes

How accurate was the crowd? A close one — the market was only 42% confident in Yes at the close.

Venues

Polymarket and Kalshi coverage

Polymarket remains the settlement source for this page. Kalshi appears here only where Vanga has a high-confidence comparable market.

Best venuePolymarket

Spread-50.0 pp

Coverage2 venues

SnapshotJun 9, 2026

Marozsan

Confidence 100% · Kalshi finalized

+50.0 pp

Polymarket0% (0¢)Kalshi KXATPSETWINNER-26JUN08ONCMAR-1-MAR50% (50¢)

Marozsan

Confidence 100% · Kalshi finalized

+50.0 pp

Polymarket0% (0¢)

Context

Schedule and result context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

Jun 8, 2026Yes settlement with $2.1K traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

June 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price64% (64¢)Observed

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.