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Resolved answer·Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi·#2417090

Matteo Berrettini vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 4.5

50/50
Final answerResolved Jun 3, 2026

Prediction markets climbed from 26% to 50% before this settled 50/50 on Jun 3, 2026.

Outcome: 50/50 on Jun 3, 2026. Event family: Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi. $1.1K traded before settlement. Question: Matteo Berrettini vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 4.5.

ResolvedJun 3, 2026
Volume$1.1K
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Matteo Berrettini vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 4.5
Market image50/50
Last observed Yes27% (27¢)
01Section 01 of 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 26% before it climbed to 50% into settlement — a 24-point move.

27.0¢ALL+3.8%
22¢25¢27¢28¢31¢6/26/36/36/3Lowest pointSettled

Last observed Yes

27% (27¢)

Settled result

50/50

02Section 02 of 04Context

Context

Schedule and result context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Jun 3, 202650/50 settlement with $1.1K traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 2¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal
No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.
Spread
2¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
03Section 03 of 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

June 3, 2026 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price26% (26¢)Observed
04Section 04 of 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi
Same contract familyNo

Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi

Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi · $2.2M traded · Jun 3, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Roland Garros AtpNo

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev · $18.2M traded · Jun 7, 2026

Open resolved page
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
6 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle26% (26¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
Last observed price27% (27¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty73%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score1 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread2¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same entity: Roland Garros AtpNo

Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev

Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev · $7.9M traded · Jun 2, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Roland Garros AtpNo

Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi

Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi · $7.6M traded · Jun 2, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Roland Garros AtpYes

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic · $5.9M traded · May 29, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Roland Garros AtpNo

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev · $5.7M traded · Jun 5, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Roland Garros AtpYes

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev · $5.0M traded · Jun 1, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive