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ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Jun 5, 2026 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Tyler (Doubles): Fuchs/Thayne vs Maginley/Suarez·#2405118

Tyler: Completed Match: Fuchs/Thayne vs Maginley/Suarez

Yes
Final answerResolved Jun 5, 2026

A close one — the market was only 50% confident in Yes at the close.

“Tyler: Completed Match: Fuchs/Thayne vs Maginley/Suarez” resolved Yes on Jun 5, 2026, after $71 traded on Polymarket. It is part of the Tyler (Doubles): Fuchs/Thayne vs Maginley/Suarez event family.

ResolvedJun 5, 2026
Volume$71
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Tyler: Completed Match: Fuchs/Thayne vs Maginley/Suarez
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes50% (50¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 50% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 50-point move.

Yes 50.0¢ALL+0.0%
45¢59¢73¢86¢100¢6/16/16/16/16/26/46/46/46/46/5Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

50% (50¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.35%+0.1%$397.9KTrade on Polyguana →Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Trending now41.5%-20.0%$274.0KTrade on Polyguana →Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Trending now16.5%-1.0%$234.5KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Schedule and result context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Jun 5, 2026Yes settlement with $71 traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.9¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

June 5, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price50% (50¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will Tyler Montoya win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Same entity: TylerNo

Will Tyler Montoya win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner · $4.3M traded · Dec 19, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: DoublesYes

Bogota (Doubles): Escobar/Mena vs Soto/Zeballos

Bogota (Doubles): Escobar/Mena vs Soto/Zeballos · $1.4K traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Spike signal
50 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.9¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
17 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle50% (50¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price50% (50¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty50%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score50 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.9¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same entity: DoublesNo

Set Handicap: Soto/Zeballos (-1.5) vs Escobar/Mena (+1.5)

Bogota (Doubles): Escobar/Mena vs Soto/Zeballos · $500 traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: DoublesNo

Set 1 Winner: Kobori/Plipuech vs Brantmeier/Corley

Newport (Doubles): Kobori/Plipuech vs Brantmeier/Corley · $75 traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: DoublesYes

Escobar/Mena vs. Soto/Zeballos: Match O/U 22.5

Bogota (Doubles): Escobar/Mena vs Soto/Zeballos · $0 traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: DoublesNo

Escobar/Mena vs. Soto/Zeballos: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Bogota (Doubles): Escobar/Mena vs Soto/Zeballos · $0 traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: DoublesYes

Set Handicap: Escobar/Mena (-1.5) vs Soto/Zeballos (+1.5)

Bogota (Doubles): Escobar/Mena vs Soto/Zeballos · $0 traded · Jul 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive