RankingsNarrativeEventsWatchlistsAlertsResolvedLearnResearch

Navigate

Prediction markets, watchlists, and tools

RankingsNarrativeEventsWatchlistsAlertsResolvedLearnResearchWatchlistHeatmap

CoinMarketCap for prediction markets.

Track every Polymarket prediction market with live prices, rankings, resolved outcomes, and research.

Trade on Polymarket↗

Markets

  • Rankings
  • Events
  • Topics
  • Ecosystem

Predictions

  • 2028 election odds
  • Bitcoin odds
  • Fed rate odds
  • Trump odds
  • World Cup odds

Resolved

  • Overview
  • Recently resolved
  • High volume
  • Biggest surprises
  • Calibration

Learn

  • Learn hub
  • How markets work
  • How to read odds
  • Is Polymarket accurate?
  • Glossary

Research

  • Research hub
  • Methodology
  • Price discovery
  • Insider trading
  • Brand kit

© 2026 Polyguana. Prediction market intelligence — not investment advice.

Referral disclosure: Polyguana may earn commissions from eligible Polymarket signups and trading activity.

Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
Resolved answer·Will Micron (MU) close above ___ end of June?·#2389164

Will Micron (MU) close above $1,000 end of June?

Yes
Final answerResolved Jun 30, 2026

The crowd called it — 96% confident in Yes just before settlement.

Outcome: Yes on Jun 30, 2026. Event family: Will Micron (MU) close above ___ end of June? $2.5K traded before settlement. Question: Will Micron (MU) close above $1,000 end of June?

ResolvedJun 30, 2026
Volume$2.5K
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketOpen filing sourceBrowse related resolved
Will Micron (MU) close above $1,000 end of June?
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes96% (96¢)
01Section 01 of 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 29% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 71-point move.

Yes 96.0¢ALL+92.0%
24¢43¢62¢81¢100¢6/16/56/96/146/186/236/276/30Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

96% (96¢)

Settled result

Yes

How accurate was the crowd? The crowd called it — 96% confident in Yes just before settlement.

02Section 02 of 04Context

Context

Benchmark and filing context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Official finance referencesource linked

Official filings and issuer records are preferred over market chatter for finance-resolution context.

Open filing source
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Official finance referenceOfficial filings and issuer records are preferred over market chatter for finance-resolution context.
Resolved
Jun 30, 2026Yes settlement with $2.5K traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03Section 03 of 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

June 30, 2026 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price50% (50¢)Observed
04Section 04 of 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Same entity: JuneYes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · $60.7M traded · May 9, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: JuneYes

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Fed Decision in June? · $43.1M traded · Jun 17, 2026

Open resolved page
Spike signal
68 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
35 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle97.45% (97.45¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle96% (96¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price96% (96¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty96%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score1 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Public contextOfficial finance referenceObservedOfficial filings and issuer records are preferred over market chatter for finance-resolution context.Open filing source
Same entity: JuneNo

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Fed Decision in June? · $37.9M traded · Jun 17, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: JuneNo

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Fed Decision in June? · $31.0M traded · Jun 17, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: JuneNo

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Fed Decision in June? · $30.9M traded · Jun 17, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: JuneNo

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Fed Decision in June? · $21.7M traded · Jun 17, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: JuneNo

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?

Fed decision in June? · $29.6M traded · Jun 18, 2025

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive