Movement
Settlement evidence only
A full price path was not preserved for this market, but the settlement record is firm: it resolved No, with $291 traded before close.
Archive movement view
No price turn preservedSettlement receipt replaces the missing curve
External pre-settlement price history for this market is no longer recoverable. The page now surfaces the trustworthy settlement, book, and source evidence directly instead of leaving an empty price-development module.
Final outcome
No
Resolved May 30, 2026
Closing spread
0.1¢
Settlement-adjacent bid-ask quality
Source anchor
Original Polymarket market
Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Settled
0%
Final recorded outcome: No
Venues
Venues
Polymarket and Kalshi coverage
Polymarket remains the settlement source for this page. Kalshi appears here only where Vanga has a high-confidence comparable market.
Cindy Langlais
Confidence 100% · Kalshi finalized
Context
Schedule and result context
This page has reliable settlement and source-link context, but no preserved pre-settlement price path. It labels that archive gap directly so the final No outcome is not mistaken for a reconstructed crowd-opinion curve.
Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Open marketThe archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.
Evidence
What the archive still preserves
This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.
Source
Supabase primary
Last refreshed
May 30, 2026 at 3:44 PM UTC
State
Primary · live · primary
Ranking logic
/research/methodologyResolution source
Polymarket settlement record
Data caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision
Continue
Continue through the resolved archive
