How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on May 29, 2026 on Polymarket. Event family: Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates.

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) — Resolved market

Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)

Yes

Final answerResolved May 29, 2026

A surprise — the market leaned against Yes (39% confidence) right before it settled.

Outcome: Yes on May 29, 2026. Event family: Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates. $8.5K traded before settlement. Question: Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5).

ResolvedMay 29, 2026

Volume$8.5K

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 28.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 72-point move.

Yes 39.0¢ALL+36.8%

Last observed Yes

39% (39¢)

Settled result

Yes

How accurate was the crowd? A surprise — the market leaned against Yes (39% confidence) right before it settled.

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

May 29, 2026Yes settlement with $8.5K traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal

No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

May 29, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price28.5% (28.5¢)Observed

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.