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ArchiveThis prediction market resolved May 24, 2026 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Roland Garros ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alexander Zverev·#2329493

Set 1 Winner: Bonzi vs Zverev

No
Final answerResolved May 24, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.

“Set 1 Winner: Bonzi vs Zverev” resolved No on May 24, 2026, after $3.2K traded on Polymarket. It is part of the Roland Garros ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alexander Zverev event family.

ResolvedMay 24, 2026
Volume$3.2K
Archive coverageCurve + book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Set 1 Winner: Bonzi vs Zverev
Market imageNo
Last observed Yes0.05% (0.05¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

Consensus lock into resolution

The market priced No as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered — this was consensus confirmation, not a late swing.

Yes 0.1¢ALL+0.0%
0¢2¢4¢6¢8¢5/245/24Settled

Last observed Yes

0.05% (0.05¢)

Settled result

No

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now85.5%+5.0%$409.3KTrade on Polyguana →Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Trending now7.7%+0.1%$273.2KTrade on Polyguana →Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.35%0.0%$196.8KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Schedule and result context

The archived market shows broad crowd agreement into settlement rather than a late information shock. $3.2K traded before settlement, so the useful context is the resolved outcome, official source path, and related market family.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
ConsensusThe market was already one-sided before settlement, so absence of a spike is part of the record.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
May 24, 2026No settlement with $3.2K traded before close.
Closing book preservedOrder book

The archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and $64.2K closing liquidity.

Spike signal
No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.
03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

May 24, 2026 at 3:25 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price0.05% (0.05¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev
Same entity: Roland Garros AtpNo

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev · $18.2M traded · Jun 7, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Roland Garros AtpNo

Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev

Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev · $7.9M traded · Jun 2, 2026

Open resolved page
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
$64.2KLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Curve
3 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle0.05% (0.05¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle0.05% (0.05¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price0.05% (0.05¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score0 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing liquidity$64.2KObservedLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same entity: Roland Garros AtpNo

Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi

Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi · $7.6M traded · Jun 2, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Roland Garros AtpYes

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic · $5.9M traded · May 29, 2026

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Same entity: Roland Garros AtpNo

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev · $5.7M traded · Jun 5, 2026

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Same entity: Roland Garros AtpYes

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev · $5.0M traded · Jun 1, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Roland Garros AtpNo

Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli

Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli · $4.7M traded · Jun 3, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive