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Resolved answer·NBA: 2025-26 All-NBA First Team·#2242080

Will Deni Avdija be named to the 2026 All-NBA First Team?

No
Final answerResolved May 25, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.

Outcome: No on May 25, 2026. Event family: NBA: 2025-26 All-NBA First Team. $355 traded before settlement. Question: Will Deni Avdija be named to the 2026 All-NBA First Team?

ResolvedMay 25, 2026
Volume$355
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Will Deni Avdija be named to the 2026 All-NBA First Team?
Market imageNo
Last observed Yes0.05% (0.05¢)
01Section 01 of 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 50% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 50-point move.

Yes 0.1¢ALL-99.9%
Yes0.1¢No100.0¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢5/145/155/165/205/225/235/245/25Peak convictionSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

0.05% (0.05¢)

Settled result

No

How accurate was the crowd? The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.

02Section 02 of 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
May 25, 2026No settlement with $355 traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03Section 03 of 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

May 25, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price50% (50¢)Observed
04Section 04 of 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in Assists?
Same entity: NbaNo

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in Assists?

NBA Assists Leader · $18.1M traded · Apr 14, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: NbaNo

Will Paul George lead the NBA in Scoring?

NBA Scoring Leader · $9.4M traded · Apr 14, 2025

Open resolved page
Spike signal
50 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
35 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle2.25% (2.25¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle0.05% (0.05¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price0.05% (0.05¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score2 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same entity: Nba
No

Will Tari Eason win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?

NBA 6th Man of the Year · $5.5M traded · Apr 21, 2025

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Same entity: NbaNo

Will Dejounte Murray lead the NBA in Assists?

NBA Assists Leader · $4.1M traded · Apr 14, 2025

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Same entity: NbaNo

Will Nicolas Claxton lead the NBA in Rebounds?

NBA Rebounds Leader · $3.4M traded · Apr 14, 2025

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Same entity: NbaNo

Will Zach LaVine lead the NBA in scoring?

NBA Scoring Leader · $3.4M traded · Apr 14, 2025

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Same entity: NbaNo

Will Anthony Edwards lead the NBA in scoring?

NBA Scoring Leader · $3.2M traded · Apr 14, 2025

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive