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Resolved answer·Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs·#2054026

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Yes
Final answerResolved Apr 23, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

Outcome: Yes on Apr 23, 2026. Event family: Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs. $1.0M traded before settlement. Question: Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs.

ResolvedApr 23, 2026
Volume$1.0M
Archive coverageCurve + book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes99.95% (99.95¢)
01Section 01 of 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 44.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 55-point move.

Yes 100.0¢ALL+124.6%
Yes100.0¢No0.0¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢4/224/234/23Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

99.95% (99.95¢)

Settled result

Yes

How accurate was the crowd? The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

02Section 02 of 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Apr 23, 2026Yes settlement with $1.0M traded before close.
Closing book preservedOrder book

The archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and $758.6K closing liquidity.

Spike signal
55 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
03Section 03 of 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

April 23, 2026 at 7:15 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price44.5% (44.5¢)Observed
04Section 04 of 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
Same contract familyYes

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs · $1.7M traded · Apr 23, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs · $1.7M traded · Apr 25, 2026

Open resolved page
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
$758.6KLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Curve
3 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle44.5% (44.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score55 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing liquidity$758.6KObservedLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same entity: Team FalconsNo

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs · $6.1M traded · Jun 20, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Team FalconsNo

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs · $5.8M traded · Jun 20, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Team FalconsNo

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs · $4.7M traded · Jun 21, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Team FalconsYes

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 · $3.4M traded · Jun 11, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Team FalconsNo

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 · $3.3M traded · Jun 14, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive