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ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Mar 29, 2026 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Kings vs. Hawks·#1766132

Spread: Hawks (-13.5)

No
Final answerResolved Mar 29, 2026

A close one — the market was only 52% confident in No at the close.

“Spread: Hawks (-13.5)” resolved No on Mar 29, 2026, after $1.2M traded on Polymarket. It is part of the Kings vs. Hawks event family.

ResolvedMar 29, 2026
Volume$1.2M
Archive coverageCheckpoints + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Spread: Hawks (-13.5)
Market image
No
Last observed Yes48% (48¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

A full price path was not preserved for this market, but the settlement record is firm: it resolved No, with $1.2M traded before close.

Archive movement view

Observed checkpoints

Stored checkpoints still sketch the close

This market no longer has a full preserved curve, but the archive still keeps the last meaningful checkpoints into settlement.

Final outcome

No

Resolved Mar 29, 2026

Closing spread

0.1¢

Settlement-adjacent bid-ask quality

Source anchor

Original Polymarket market

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

0%50%100%

First archived

48%

Earliest preserved observation

24h before

48%

Stored checkpoint one day before settlement

Last observed

48%

Closest archived price before settlement

Settled

0%

Final recorded outcome: No

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now77.5%-7.0%$376.4KTrade on Polyguana →Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Trending now2.25%+0.1%$304.0KTrade on Polyguana →Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.35%0.0%$278.6KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Mar 29, 2026No settlement with $1.2M traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

March 29, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price48% (48¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Kings vs. Hawks
Same contract familyNo

Kings vs. Hawks

Kings vs. Hawks · $1.7M traded · Mar 29, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: KingsNo

Kings vs. Clippers

Kings vs. Clippers · $4.4M traded · Nov 23, 2024

Open resolved page
Same entity: KingsNo

Heat vs. Kings

Spike signal
No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
MissingOnly checkpoints or settlement records are available.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle48% (48¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
Last observed price48% (48¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty52%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score0 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market

Heat vs. Kings · $1.2M traded · Jan 7, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: HawksNo

Knicks vs. Hawks

Knicks vs. Hawks · $7.1M traded · Apr 24, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: HawksYes

Clippers vs. Hawks

Clippers vs. Hawks · $8.1M traded · Dec 4, 2025

Open resolved page
Same topic: NBANo

Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?

NBA Champion · $378.0M traded · Apr 17, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: HawksYes

Knicks vs. Hawks

Knicks vs. Hawks · $4.2M traded · Apr 26, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive