How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on Mar 30, 2026 on Polymarket. Event family: Heat vs. Pacers.

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

No — Spread: Heat (-9.5) (Mar 30, 2026)

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

Final answerResolved Mar 30, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.

“Spread: Heat (-9.5)” resolved No on Mar 30, 2026, after $1.4M traded on Polymarket. It is part of the Heat vs. Pacers event family.

ResolvedMar 30, 2026

Volume$1.4M

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 51.5% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 52-point move.

Yes 0.1¢ALL-99.9%

Last observed Yes

0.05% (0.05¢)

Settled result

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Trending now16.5%-1.0%$344.5KTrade on Polyguana →Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Trending now36.5%-9.0%$338.3KTrade on Polyguana →Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now79.5%+1.0%$170.3KTrade on Polyguana →

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

Mar 30, 2026No settlement with $1.4M traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal

51 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

March 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price50.5% (50.5¢)Observed

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.