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Resolved answer·Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils·#1761704

Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 133.5

Yes
Final answerResolved Mar 30, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

Outcome: Yes on Mar 30, 2026. Event family: Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils. $84.8K traded before settlement. Question: Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 133.5.

ResolvedMar 30, 2026
Volume$84.8K
Archive coverageCurve + book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 133.5
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes99.95% (99.95¢)
01Section 01 of 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 51.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 49-point move.

Yes 100.0¢ALL+90.4%
47¢60¢73¢87¢100¢3/283/293/303/30Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

99.95% (99.95¢)

Settled result

Yes

How accurate was the crowd? The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

02Section 02 of 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Mar 30, 2026Yes settlement with $84.8K traded before close.
Closing book preservedOrder book

The archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and $91.9K closing liquidity.

Spike signal
48 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
03Section 03 of 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

March 30, 2026 at 1:10 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price52.5% (52.5¢)Observed
04Section 04 of 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils
Same contract familyYes

Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils

Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils · $4.9M traded · Mar 30, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Connecticut HuskiesNo

Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies

Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies · $7.7M traded · Mar 28, 2026

Open resolved page
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
$91.9KLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Curve
4 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle51.5% (51.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score48 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing liquidity$91.9KObservedLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same entity: Connecticut HuskiesNo

Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines

Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines · $7.3M traded · Apr 7, 2026

Open resolved page
Same topic: NBANo

Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?

NBA Champion · $378.0M traded · Apr 17, 2025

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Same entity: Connecticut HuskiesYes

Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini

Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini · $4.8M traded · Apr 5, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: Duke Blue DevilsNo

St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils

St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils · $4.1M traded · Mar 28, 2026

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Same topic: NBANo

Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?

NBA Champion · $154.2M traded · Apr 2, 2025

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Browse the full resolved archive