MarketsEventsResolvedNarrativeLearnResearch

Navigate

Prediction markets, watchlists, and tools

MarketsEventsResolvedNarrativeLearnResearchWatchlist & AlertsHeatmap

CoinMarketCap for prediction markets.

Track every Polymarket prediction market with live prices, rankings, resolved outcomes, and research.

Trade on Polymarket↗

Markets

  • Rankings
  • Events
  • Topics
  • Ecosystem

Predictions

  • 2028 election odds
  • Bitcoin odds
  • Fed rate odds
  • Trump odds
  • World Cup odds

Resolved

  • Overview
  • Recently resolved
  • High volume
  • Biggest surprises
  • Calibration
  • Monthly archive

Learn

  • Learn hub
  • How markets work
  • How to read odds
  • Is Polymarket accurate?
  • Glossary

Research

  • Research hub
  • Methodology
  • Price discovery
  • Insider trading
  • Brand kit

© 2026 Polyguana. Prediction market intelligence — not investment advice.

Referral disclosure: Polyguana may earn commissions from eligible Polymarket signups and trading activity.

Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Mar 30, 2026 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1·#1761023

LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1

Yes
Final answerResolved Mar 30, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1” resolved Yes on Mar 30, 2026, after $835.9K traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedMar 30, 2026
Volume$835.9K
Archive coverageCurve + book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes99.95% (99.95¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 66.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 34-point move.

Yes 100.0¢ALL+50.3%
62¢72¢81¢91¢100¢3/293/293/303/30Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

99.95% (99.95¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now85.5%+3.0%$354.6KTrade on Polyguana →Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Trending now7.65%+0.1%$271.9KTrade on Polyguana →Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.35%0.0%$175.1KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Schedule and result context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Mar 30, 2026Yes settlement with $835.9K traded before close.
Closing book preservedOrder book

The archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and $457.5K closing liquidity.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

March 30, 2026 at 4:05 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price66.5% (66.5¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Same entity: ChinaYes

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Will Trump visit China by...? · $15.1M traded · May 13, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: ChinaNo

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Will Trump visit China by...? · $12.8M traded · May 1, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: China
Spike signal
33 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
$457.5KLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Curve
4 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle66.5% (66.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score33 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing liquidity$457.5KObservedLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
No

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · $10.6M traded · Apr 1, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: ChinaNo

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? · $12.4M traded · Jan 1, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: ChinaYes

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Will Trump visit China by...? · $7.6M traded · May 13, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: ChinaYes

Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?

Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? · $11.0M traded · Apr 16, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: ChinaYes

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Will Trump visit China by...? · $2.3M traded · May 13, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive