How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on Mar 27, 2026 on Polymarket. Event family: Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs.

Did the prediction market see it coming?

Yes — prediction markets priced No as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered.

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

No — Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs (Mar 27, 2026)

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

Final answerResolved Mar 27, 2026

A close one — the market was only 49.5% confident in No at the close.

“Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs” resolved No on Mar 27, 2026, after $989.3K traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedMar 27, 2026

Volume$989.3K

Archive coverageCurve + book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market priced No as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered — this was consensus confirmation, not a late swing.

Yes 50.5¢ALL+0.0%

Yes50.5¢No49.5¢

Last observed Yes

50.5% (50.5¢)

Settled result

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

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Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

Mar 27, 2026No settlement with $989.3K traded before close.

Closing book preservedOrder book

The archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and $22.7K closing liquidity.

Spike signal

No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

March 27, 2026 at 6:10 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price50.5% (50.5¢)Observed

Continue through the resolved archive

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