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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Mar 27, 2026 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Bitcoin above ___ on March 27?·#1662876

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?

Yes
Final answerResolved Mar 27, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?” resolved Yes on Mar 27, 2026, after $1.1M traded on Polymarket. It is part of the Bitcoin above ___ on March 27? event family.

ResolvedMar 27, 2026
Volume$1.1M
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes99.95% (99.95¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 52% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 48-point move.

Yes 100.0¢ALL+92.2%
47¢60¢74¢87¢100¢3/203/263/27Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

99.95% (99.95¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.35%-0.2%$1.7MTrade on Polyguana →Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now75.5%-9.0%$1.4MTrade on Polyguana →Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.05%0.0%$1.3MTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Benchmark and filing context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Mar 27, 2026Yes settlement with $1.1M traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

March 27, 2026 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price52% (52¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Same entity: MarchNo

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Fed decision in March? · $173.0M traded · Mar 18, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: MarchNo

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Netanyahu out by...? · $104.2M traded · Apr 5, 2026

Open resolved page
Spike signal
48 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
3 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle91.5% (91.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score8 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same entity: MarchNo

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Fed decision in March? · $87.1M traded · Mar 18, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: BitcoinNo

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ? · $375.8M traded · Jun 4, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: MarchNo

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

US forces enter Iran by..? · $73.9M traded · Apr 5, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: MarchNo

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · $63.2M traded · Apr 1, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: MarchYes

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · $63.2M traded · Mar 4, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive