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ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Mar 29, 2026 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Stars vs. Penguins·#1476583

Stars vs. Penguins

Yes
Final answerResolved Mar 29, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Stars vs. Penguins” resolved Yes on Mar 29, 2026, after $896.8K traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedMar 29, 2026
Volume$896.8K
Archive coverageCurve + book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Stars vs. Penguins
Market image
Yes
Last observed Yes99.95% (99.95¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 53.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 47-point move.

Yes 100.0¢ALL+85.1%
49¢61¢74¢87¢100¢3/273/283/293/29Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

99.95% (99.95¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now85.5%+3.0%$354.6KTrade on Polyguana →Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Trending now7.65%+0.1%$271.9KTrade on Polyguana →Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.35%0.0%$175.1KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Mar 29, 2026Yes settlement with $896.8K traded before close.
Closing book preservedOrder book

The archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and $538.2K closing liquidity.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

March 29, 2026 at 2:45 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price54% (54¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Penguins vs. Flyers
Same entity: PenguinsNo

Penguins vs. Flyers

Penguins vs. Flyers · $2.4M traded · Apr 30, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: PenguinsYes

Penguins vs. Flyers

Penguins vs. Flyers · $2.2M traded · Apr 26, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: StarsYes

Stars vs. Wild

Spike signal
46 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
$538.2KLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Curve
4 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle53.5% (53.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price99.95% (99.95¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score46 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing liquidity$538.2KObservedLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market

Stars vs. Wild · $1.7M traded · Apr 23, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: StarsNo

Stars vs. Wild

Stars vs. Wild · $1.5M traded · May 1, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: StarsNo

Stars vs. Wild

Stars vs. Wild · $1.4M traded · Apr 26, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: PenguinsNo

Flyers vs. Penguins

Flyers vs. Penguins · $1.4M traded · Apr 28, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: StarsYes

Wild vs. Stars

Wild vs. Stars · $1.3M traded · Apr 29, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive