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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Mar 3, 2026 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?·#1454039

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?

Yes
Final answerResolved Mar 3, 2026

This market settled Yes on Mar 3, 2026.

“S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?” resolved Yes on Mar 3, 2026, after $774.5K traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedMar 3, 2026
Volume$774.5K
Archive coverageSettlement/book only
Open original marketOpen filing sourceBrowse related resolved
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes—
01 / 04Movement

Movement

Settlement evidence only

A full price path was not preserved for this market, but the settlement record is firm: it resolved Yes, with $774.5K traded before close.

Archive movement view

No price turn preserved

Settlement receipt replaces the missing curve

External pre-settlement price history for this market is no longer recoverable. The page now surfaces the trustworthy settlement, book, and source evidence directly instead of leaving an empty price-development module.

Final outcome

Yes

Resolved Mar 3, 2026

Closing spread

0.1¢

Settlement-adjacent bid-ask quality

Public anchor

Official finance reference

Official filings and issuer records are preferred over market chatter for finance-resolution context.

0%50%100%No turn point preservedOnly the final settlement evidence is available for this market.

Settled

100%

Final recorded outcome: Yes

Trending live markets · FinanceThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Trending in Finance14.5%+5.5%$49.4KTrade on Polyguana →Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Trending in Finance82.5%-2.0%$45.5KTrade on Polyguana →Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?Trending in Finance32%-6.0%$40.8KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Benchmark and filing context

This page has reliable settlement and source-link context, but no preserved pre-settlement price path. It labels that archive gap directly so the final Yes outcome is not mistaken for a reconstructed crowd-opinion curve.

Official finance referencesource linked

Official filings and issuer records are preferred over market chatter for finance-resolution context.

Open filing source
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Official finance referenceOfficial filings and issuer records are preferred over market chatter for finance-resolution context.
Resolved
Mar 3, 2026Yes settlement with $774.5K traded before close.
Closing book partialArchive evidence

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

March 3, 2026 at 1:39 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
Close certainty100%Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?
Same contract familyNo

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? · $1.7M traded · Mar 3, 2026

Open resolved page
Same contract familyNo

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 8?

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 8? · $56.1K traded · Jun 8, 2026

Open resolved page
Spike signal
UnknownNo movement anchor was preserved strongly enough to score a late spike.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
Not recoverableThe page shows a settlement evidence receipt because a full price path is unavailable.
How one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Public contextOfficial finance referenceObservedOfficial filings and issuer records are preferred over market chatter for finance-resolution context.Open filing source
Same contract family
No

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 30?

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 30? · $10.1K traded · Jun 30, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: MarchNo

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Fed decision in March? · $173.0M traded · Mar 18, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: MarchNo

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Netanyahu out by...? · $104.2M traded · Apr 5, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: MarchNo

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Fed decision in March? · $87.1M traded · Mar 18, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: MarchNo

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

US forces enter Iran by..? · $73.9M traded · Apr 5, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive