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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Mar 2, 2026 on Polymarket.
Resolved answer·Grizzlies vs. Pacers·#1427111

Grizzlies vs. Pacers

Yes
Final answerResolved Mar 2, 2026

The crowd called it — 87.5% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Grizzlies vs. Pacers” resolved Yes on Mar 2, 2026, after $1.5M traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedMar 2, 2026
Volume$1.5M
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Grizzlies vs. Pacers
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes87.5% (87.5¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 48.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 52-point move.

Yes 87.5¢ALL+69.9%
44¢56¢68¢80¢92¢2/242/252/262/272/283/13/2Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

87.5% (87.5¢)

Settled result

Yes

02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Mar 2, 2026Yes settlement with $1.5M traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal
39 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

March 2, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price51.5% (51.5¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Pacers vs. Thunder
Same entity: PacersNo

Pacers vs. Thunder

Pacers vs. Thunder · $5.8M traded · Jun 9, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: PacersNo

Pacers vs. Thunder

Pacers vs. Thunder · $5.7M traded · Jun 23, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: PacersNo

Thunder vs. Pacers

Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
22 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle50.5% (50.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle87.5% (87.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price87.5% (87.5¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty87.5%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score37 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market

Thunder vs. Pacers · $5.2M traded · Jun 20, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: PacersYes

Thunder vs. Pacers

Thunder vs. Pacers · $5.0M traded · Jun 14, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: PacersNo

Pacers vs. Thunder

Pacers vs. Thunder · $4.0M traded · Jun 17, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: PacersNo

Thunder vs. Pacers

Thunder vs. Pacers · $3.7M traded · Jun 12, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: PacersNo

Pacers vs. Knicks

Pacers vs. Knicks · $3.5M traded · May 30, 2025

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive