How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on Mar 4, 2026 on Polymarket. Event family: Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC.

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

No — Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03? (Mar 4, 2026)

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?

Final answerResolved Mar 4, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.

“Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?” resolved No on Mar 4, 2026, after $1.1M traded on Polymarket. It is part of the Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC event family.

ResolvedMar 4, 2026

Volume$1.1M

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 50.5% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 51-point move.

Yes 0.1¢ALL-99.9%

Last observed Yes

0.05% (0.05¢)

Settled result

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.25%0.0%$273.7KTrade on Polyguana →Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Trending now7.55%+0.2%$248.3KTrade on Polyguana →Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now85.5%+3.0%$242.2KTrade on Polyguana →

Context

Schedule and result context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

Mar 4, 2026No settlement with $1.1M traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

March 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price49% (49¢)Observed

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