How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on Feb 28, 2026 on Polymarket. Event family: US next strikes Iran on...?

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Original Polymarket market is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

Will the US next strike Iran on March 26, 2026 (ET)? — Resolved market

Will the US next strike Iran on March 26, 2026 (ET)?

Final answerResolved Feb 28, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.3% confident in No just before settlement.

Outcome: No on Feb 28, 2026. Event family: US next strikes Iran on...? $314.4K traded before settlement. Question: Will the US next strike Iran on March 26, 2026 (ET)?

ResolvedFeb 28, 2026

Volume$314.4K

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 32% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 32-point move.

Yes 0.7¢ALL-97.8%

Yes0.7¢No99.3¢

Last observed Yes

0.7% (0.7¢)

Settled result

How accurate was the crowd? The crowd called it — 99.3% confident in No just before settlement.

Context

Headline and statement context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market

Crowd state

TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Resolved

Feb 28, 2026No settlement with $314.4K traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

February 28, 2026 at 6:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price32% (32¢)Observed

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.