How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on Mar 2, 2026 on Polymarket. Event family: Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?

What source was used to resolve it?

No external resolution source URL was stored for this market in the archived metadata. Federal Reserve FOMC calendar is attached as public context for interpreting the result.

Yes — Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28? (Mar 2, 2026)

Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?

Yes

Final answerResolved Mar 2, 2026

The crowd called it — 99.7% confident in Yes just before settlement.

“Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?” resolved Yes on Mar 2, 2026, after $624.9K traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedMar 2, 2026

Volume$624.9K

Archive coverageCurve + partial book

Movement

No-to-Yes turn

The market sat near 8.35% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 92-point move.

No-to-Yes turn

Yes fell to 8.35% before the market settled Yes at 100%, a 92-point reversal.

Lowest Yes

8.35% (8.35¢)

Curve low

Settled Yes

100% (100¢)

Final Yes price

Swing

92 pts

Yes probability

Yes 99.7¢ALL+38.5%

Last observed Yes

99.7% (99.7¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live markets · GeopoliticsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Trending in Geopolitics4.3%-0.9%$162.3KTrade on Polyguana →Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Trending in Geopolitics8.5%-2.0%$100.8KTrade on Polyguana →Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Trending in Geopolitics5.5%+0.5%$60.7KTrade on Polyguana →

Context

FOMC expectation shift

This was a policy-meeting market, so public opinion should be read against the FOMC schedule and statement path rather than generic social chatter. $624.9K traded before settlement.

Federal Reserve FOMC calendarsource linked

Official policy-meeting calendar and statement archive for rate-decision markets.

Open Fed source

Crowd state

RepricedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.

Public anchor

Federal Reserve FOMC calendarOfficial policy-meeting calendar and statement archive for rate-decision markets.

Resolved

Mar 2, 2026Yes settlement with $624.9K traded before close.

Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

March 1, 2026 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Observed prices

First archived price72% (72¢)Observed

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