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ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Mar 2, 2026 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Panthers vs. Islanders·#1320252

Panthers vs. Islanders

No
Final answerResolved Mar 2, 2026

A surprise — the market leaned against No (27% confidence) right before it settled.

“Panthers vs. Islanders” resolved No on Mar 2, 2026, after $1.1M traded on Polymarket.

ResolvedMar 2, 2026
Volume$1.1M
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Panthers vs. Islanders
Market image
No
Last observed Yes73% (73¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 73% before it fell to 0% into settlement — a 73-point move.

Yes 73.0¢ALL+43.1%
48¢55¢62¢69¢76¢2/23/13/2Peak convictionSettled

Last observed Yes

73% (73¢)

Settled result

No

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Trending now2.25%0.0%$273.7KTrade on Polyguana →Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now85.5%+3.0%$252.5KTrade on Polyguana →Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Trending now7.55%+0.2%$248.3KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Mar 2, 2026No settlement with $1.1M traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal
22 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

March 2, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price51% (51¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?
Same entity: PanthersNo

Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?

Super Bowl Champion 2025 · $139.3M traded · Dec 16, 2024

Open resolved page
Same entity: PanthersYes

Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?

What will Trump say during Panthers visit on January 15? · $5.7M traded · Jan 19, 2026

Open resolved page
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
3 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle55.5% (55.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
Last observed price73% (73¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty73%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score17 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
Same entity: PanthersNo

Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship?

NFC Champion · $9.1M traded · Dec 16, 2024

Open resolved page
Same entity: PanthersNo

Oilers vs. Panthers

Oilers vs. Panthers · $2.0M traded · Jun 18, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: PanthersYes

Panthers vs. Oilers

Panthers vs. Oilers · $1.9M traded · Jun 15, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: PanthersNo

Panthers vs. Oilers

Panthers vs. Oilers · $1.9M traded · Jun 5, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: PanthersYes

Oilers vs. Panthers

Oilers vs. Panthers · $1.9M traded · Jun 13, 2025

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive