MarketsEventsResolvedNarrativeLearnResearch

Navigate

Prediction markets, watchlists, and tools

MarketsEventsResolvedNarrativeLearnResearchWatchlist & AlertsHeatmap

CoinMarketCap for prediction markets.

Track every Polymarket prediction market with live prices, rankings, resolved outcomes, and research.

Trade on Polymarket↗

Markets

  • Rankings
  • Events
  • Topics
  • Ecosystem

Predictions

  • 2028 election odds
  • Bitcoin odds
  • Fed rate odds
  • Trump odds
  • World Cup odds

Resolved

  • Overview
  • Recently resolved
  • High volume
  • Biggest surprises
  • Calibration
  • Monthly archive

Learn

  • Learn hub
  • How markets work
  • How to read odds
  • Is Polymarket accurate?
  • Glossary

Research

  • Research hub
  • Methodology
  • Price discovery
  • Insider trading
  • Brand kit

© 2026 Polyguana. Prediction market intelligence — not investment advice.

Referral disclosure: Polyguana may earn commissions from eligible Polymarket signups and trading activity.

Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Dec 28, 2025 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·Seahawks vs. Panthers·#1047494

Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)

Yes
Final answerResolved Dec 28, 2025

A close one — the market was only 51.5% confident in Yes at the close.

“Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)” resolved Yes on Dec 28, 2025, after $1.9M traded on Polymarket. It is part of the Seahawks vs. Panthers event family.

ResolvedDec 28, 2025
Volume$1.9M
Archive coverageCheckpoints + book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes51.5% (51.5¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

A full price path was not preserved for this market, but the settlement record is firm: it resolved Yes, with $1.9M traded before close.

Archive movement view

Observed checkpoints

Stored checkpoints still sketch the close

This market no longer has a full preserved curve, but the archive still keeps the last meaningful checkpoints into settlement.

Final outcome

Yes

Resolved Dec 28, 2025

Closing spread

0.1¢

Settlement-adjacent bid-ask quality

Closing liquidity

$0

Last preserved book depth

Source anchor

Original Polymarket market

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

0%50%100%

First archived

51.5%

Earliest preserved observation

24h before

51.5%

Stored checkpoint one day before settlement

Last observed

51.5%

Closest archived price before settlement

Settled

100%

Final recorded outcome: Yes

Trending live marketsThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Trending now2.15%+0.3%$300.8KTrade on Polyguana →Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now78.5%-7.0%$277.5KTrade on Polyguana →Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Trending now21.65%-7.4%$249.6KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Dec 28, 2025Yes settlement with $1.9M traded before close.
Closing book preservedOrder book

The archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and $0 closing liquidity.

03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

December 28, 2025 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price51.5% (51.5¢)Observed
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Seahawks vs. Panthers
Same contract familyYes

Seahawks vs. Panthers

Seahawks vs. Panthers · $2.0M traded · Dec 28, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: SeahawksNo

Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?

Super Bowl Champion 2025 · $20.7M traded · Dec 30, 2024

Open resolved page
Same entity: SeahawksYes
Spike signal
No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
$0Last archived liquidity level before settlement.
Curve
MissingOnly checkpoints or settlement records are available.
Earliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle51.5% (51.5¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
Last observed price51.5% (51.5¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty51.5%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score0 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing liquidity$0ObservedLast archived liquidity level before settlement.
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market

Seahawks vs. Bears

Seahawks vs. Bears · $1.6M traded · Dec 27, 2024

Open resolved page
Same entity: SeahawksNo

Rams vs. Seahawks

Rams vs. Seahawks · $13.6M traded · Jan 26, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: SeahawksNo

49ers vs. Seahawks

49ers vs. Seahawks · $9.5M traded · Jan 18, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: SeahawksYes

Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)

Seattle vs. New England · $9.3M traded · Feb 9, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: SeahawksYes

Seahawks vs. 49ers

Seahawks vs. 49ers · $7.1M traded · Jan 4, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive