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Detalhes originais do mercado em inglês
Resolved answer·LoL Worlds 2025 Winner·#633301

LoL Worlds 2025 Winner

No
Final answerResolved Oct 25, 2025

The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.

Outcome: No on Oct 25, 2025. Event family: LoL Worlds 2025 Winner. $329.3K traded before settlement. Question: Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2025?

ResolvedOct 25, 2025
Volume$329.3K
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketBrowse related resolved
Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2025?
Market imageNo
Last observed Yes0.05% (0.05¢)
01Section 01 of 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

A full price path was not preserved for this market, but the settlement record is firm: it resolved No, with $329.3K traded before close.

Yes 0.1¢ALL-99.6%
0¢4¢8¢11¢15¢10/1310/1510/1710/1910/2010/2210/2410/25Settled

Last observed Yes

0.05% (0.05¢)

Settled result

No

How accurate was the crowd? The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in No just before settlement.

02Section 02 of 04Context

Context

Public context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Original Polymarket marketmarket source

Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.

Open market
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Original Polymarket marketUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Resolved
Oct 25, 2025No settlement with $329.3K traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal
No spikeThe preserved anchor-to-close move is small; this resolved as a stable or consensus market.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
35 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
03Section 03 of 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Supabase primary

Last refreshed

October 25, 2025 at 12:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · fresh · fresh cache

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

Polymarket settlement record

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price13.5% (13.5¢)ObservedEarliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle5.4% (5.4¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle0.05% (0.05¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price0.05% (0.05¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty99.95%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score5 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourcePolymarket settlement recordStored noteNo external oracle URL was stored for this resolved market.
Source contextOriginal Polymarket marketObservedUse the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.Open market
04Section 04 of 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
Same eventYes

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

LoL Worlds 2025 Winner · $7.8M traded · Nov 9, 2025

Open resolved page
Same eventNo

Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?

LoL Worlds 2025 Winner · $4.5M traded · Nov 9, 2025

Open resolved page
Same eventNo

Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?

LoL Worlds 2025 Winner · $1.7M traded · Nov 2, 2025

Open resolved page
Same entity: WorldsNo

Will another team win LoL Worlds 2024?

League of Legends: Worlds Winner 2024 · $7.2M traded · Nov 2, 2024

Open resolved page
Same entity: WorldsYes

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?

League of Legends: Worlds Winner 2024 · $1.6M traded · Nov 2, 2024

Open resolved page
Same entity: GamingNo

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · $2.3M traded · Jun 2, 2026

Open resolved page
Same entity: GamingNo

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana · $2.8M traded · Apr 30, 2026

Open resolved page
Browse the full resolved archive