Movement
Settlement evidence only
A full price path was not preserved for this market, but the settlement record is firm: it resolved Yes, with $573 traded before close.
Archive movement view
No price turn preservedSettlement receipt replaces the missing curve
External pre-settlement price history for this market is no longer recoverable. The page now surfaces the trustworthy settlement, book, and source evidence directly instead of leaving an empty price-development module.
Final outcome
Yes
Resolved Jan 11, 2026
Closing spread
89.9¢
Settlement-adjacent bid-ask quality
Source anchor
Original Polymarket market
Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Settled
100%
Final recorded outcome: Yes
Context
Public context
This page has reliable settlement and source-link context, but no preserved pre-settlement price path. It labels that archive gap directly so the final Yes outcome is not mistaken for a reconstructed crowd-opinion curve.
Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Open marketThe archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 89.9¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.
Evidence
What the archive still preserves
This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.
Source
Supabase primary
Last refreshed
January 11, 2026 at 4:26 AM UTC
State
Primary · fresh · fresh cache
Ranking logic
/research/methodologyResolution source
Polymarket settlement record
Data caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision
Continue
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Browse the full resolved archive