MarketsEventsWatchlistsAlertsResolvedLearnResearch
Search markets
Polyguana

Track Polymarket prediction markets with live prices, rankings, and analytics. Polyguana is the CoinMarketCap for prediction markets.

Browse live market rankings, events, resolved outcomes, and research without the footer trying to explain the infrastructure.

Product

MarketsEventsRankingsWatchlistsResolved

Editorial

Research hubMethodologyLearnTopics

Resources

Brand kitMarket snapshot CSVMarket history CSVAlerts

© 2026 Polyguana. CoinMarketCap for prediction markets.

Prediction market intelligence. Not investment advice.

Topic Page

Finance Prediction Markets

Finance searchers want a cleaner answer than commentary. This page turns macro and market questions into live odds, with enough liquidity context to judge whether a probability is actually informative.

Active markets

1,409

Related events

6

Fed rate cut oddsCPI oddsrecession probabilityS&P prediction markets
Open full rankingsPrice discovery guideMethodology

Top live markets

Ranked by 24h volume
Finance$144.2K

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Implied probability

93.5%

Resolves

Apr 29, 2026

View event: Fed decision in April?
Finance$79.9K

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Implied probability

96%

Resolves

Apr 29, 2026

View event: Fed decision in April?
Finance
$71.2K

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?

Implied probability

96%

Resolves

Dec 31, 2026

View event: What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Finance$60.3K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Implied probability

53%

Resolves

Apr 30, 2026

View event: Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Finance$50.5K

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

Implied probability

92%

Resolves

Dec 31, 2026

View event: What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
Finance$48.3K

US recession by end of 2026?

Implied probability

69%

Resolves

Jan 31, 2027

View event: US recession by end of 2026?
Finance$43.5K

Will Tesla dip to $263 in March?

Implied probability

98%

Resolves

Apr 1, 2026

View event: What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in March 2026?
Finance$38.2K

Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?

Implied probability

78%

Resolves

Dec 31, 2026

View event: Which companies will the US take a stake in?
Finance$31.3K

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability

7%

Resolves

Dec 31, 2026

View event: Iran leader end of 2026?
Finance$31.0K

Will Google reach $395 in March?

Implied probability

98%

Resolves

Apr 1, 2026

View event: What will Google (GOOGL) hit in March 2026?
Finance$30.4K

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $480 end of March?

Implied probability

97.25%

Resolves

Mar 31, 2026

View event: Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of March?
Finance$26.2K

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Implied probability

59%

Resolves

Mar 31, 2026

View event: Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Related events

Fed decision in April?

2 linked markets

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

2 linked markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

1 linked market

US recession by end of 2026?

1 linked market

What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in March 2026?

1 linked market

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

1 linked market

Why this page matters for price discovery

  • • Macro markets are strongest when paired with spread, liquidity, and freshness, not just headline percentage.
  • • Finance pages should bridge traders, macro readers, and news-driven retail visitors.
  • • Price discovery becomes more useful when related contracts are linked in one crawlable page.