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Topic Page

AI Prediction Markets

AI search demand centers on milestone timing and launch uncertainty. Prediction markets convert that attention into time-bounded probabilities that are easier to compare across labs and releases.

Active markets

119

Related events

6

AI launch oddsOpenAI prediction marketsmodel release oddsAI regulation odds
Open full rankingsPrice discovery guideMethodology

Top live markets

Ranked by 24h volume
AI$80.2K

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Implied probability

98%

Resolves

Mar 31, 2026

View event: Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
AI$37.7K

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Implied probability

98%

Resolves

Mar 31, 2026

View event: Which company has the best AI model end of March?
AI$25.1K

Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Implied probability

95%

Resolves

Mar 31, 2026

View event: Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
AI$17.0K

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Implied probability

93%

Resolves

Dec 31, 2026

View event: Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
AI$16.3K

DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?

Implied probability

92%

Resolves

Mar 31, 2026

View event: DeepSeek V4 released by...?
AI$15.6K

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Implied probability

95%

Resolves

Dec 31, 2026

View event: Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
AI$15.4K

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Implied probability

89.7%

Resolves

Mar 31, 2026

View event: Which company has the best AI model end of March?
AI$10.5K

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Implied probability

95%

Resolves

Mar 31, 2026

View event: Which company has the best AI model end of March?
AI$5.8K

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Implied probability

77.2%

Resolves

Mar 31, 2026

View event: Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
AI$5.7K

Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Implied probability

92%

Resolves

Mar 31, 2026

View event: Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
AI$5.2K

Will DeepSeek have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Implied probability

97%

Resolves

Mar 31, 2026

View event: Which company has the third best AI model end of March?
AI$4.6K

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability

92%

Resolves

Mar 31, 2026

View event: Claude 5 released by…?

Related events

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

1 linked market

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

3 linked markets

Which company has the second best AI model end of March?

1 linked market

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

2 linked markets

DeepSeek V4 released by...?

1 linked market

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

2 linked markets

Why this page matters for price discovery

  • • Milestone markets work best when grouped by model launch, benchmark, and policy narratives.
  • • Readers care about timing, so date-aware copy and resolve windows matter.
  • • Internal links from AI guides to live markets improve both crawl paths and user retention.