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Will Gregory Stevens win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?

Will Gregory Stevens win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?

99% implied probability — No leads

Resolution date: September 8, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC

Event cluster: Rhode Island Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Topic: Politics

24-hour volume: $0

Total liquidity: $16.9K

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Last refreshed: June 28, 2026 at 8:48 PM UTC

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Source

supabase-shell

Last refreshed

Jun 28, 2026, 8:48 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Market read · polling·Politics

Will Gregory Stevens win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?

The crowd puts No at 99.45% · updated 11m ago · fair book

Lead probability
99.45%
No
41/100Fair

Probability tape

Probability over time

Polling
Spread0.3%Tight
Depth ±2%$6.8KThin
Freshness11m agoStale
24h volume$0matched
Liquidity$16.9Kbook depth
updated 11m agoresolves Sep 8, 2026methodologyNear median for Politics markets
What moved this marketrecent signals

Stable — no confidently-matched movers in 24h

Watching resolution timing

Outcome book

Best quotes

Top 2

Yes

0.55¢

No

99.45¢

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Research brief

About this market

low confidence

Will Gregory Stevens win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election? The lead outcome is No at 99%. No high-confidence external driver has been matched yet, so the brief leans on rules, timing, and current pricing. Resolution still depends heavily on the market rules text because no standalone canonical source URL is pinned yet. Watch next: Watch for changes around the scheduled end date because the market is currently set to resolve near 9/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM.

1 sourcesUpdated 1d ago

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Watch next

Watch for changes around the scheduled end date because the market is currently set to resolve near 9/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM.

Sep 8, 2026

Key uncertainty

No standalone canonical resolution URL is pinned yet.

More: edge cases

Edge cases

  • If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.