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Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?

Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?

0% chance — current implied probability

Resolution date: June 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC

Event cluster: Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

Topic: Finance

24-hour volume: $0

Total liquidity: $16.9K

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Last refreshed: July 2, 2026 at 4:42 AM UTC

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GeneralAwaiting resolutionResolves Jun 30, 2026
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?

Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?

0%
chanceVery unlikely
▲Yes0.05¢
▼No99.95¢

Probability over time

Polling
Quiet$16.9K in the order book

How this resolves

This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a compa…

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

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Quality42/100Fair
Spread0.1%Tight
Depth ±2%$6.8KThin
FreshnessLivereal-time
24h volume$0matched
Liquidity$16.9Kbook depth