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Set 1 Winner: Nakagawa vs Matsuda

Set 1 Winner: Nakagawa vs Matsuda

Matsuda 100% — current implied odds

Resolution date: July 18, 2026 at 3:00 AM UTC

Event cluster: ITF Tokyo: Naoki Nakagawa vs Koki Matsuda

Topic: Games

24-hour volume: $45

Total liquidity: $3.2K

Resolution criteria: This market refers to the tennis match between Naoki Nakagawa and Koki Matsuda in the ITF Tokyo, originally scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Nakagawa” if Naoki Nakagawa wins the first set. It will resolve to “Matsuda” if Koki Matsuda wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

Related markets from this event:

  • ITF Tokyo: Naoki Nakagawa vs Koki Matsuda
  • Naoki Nakagawa vs. Koki Matsuda: Total Sets O/U 2.5
  • Nakagawa vs. Matsuda: Match O/U 22.5
  • Nakagawa vs. Matsuda: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
  • Set Handicap: Nakagawa (-1.5) vs Matsuda (+1.5)

Last refreshed: July 12, 2026 at 4:19 AM UTC

Back to markets
SportsLive oddsResolves Jul 18, 2026
Set 1 Winner: Nakagawa vs Matsuda

Set 1 Winner: Nakagawa vs Matsuda

24h Vol$45Liquidity$3.2KSpread0.9%
100%
Matsuda
5M—1H+27.6%24H—7D—
24h range47%99.95%

Probability over time

Polling
99.6%24H+110.4%
42%56%71%86%100%03:1003:5504:0504:4505:5006:0006:1006:35
Quiet$45 traded todayOfficial schedule window and game-status watch

How this resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Naoki Nakagawa and Koki Matsuda in the ITF Tokyo, originally scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. It will resolve to “Matsuda” if Koki Matsuda wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is…

Resolves Jul 18, 2026

This market refers to the tennis match between Naoki Nakagawa and Koki Matsuda in the ITF Tokyo, originally scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Nakagawa” if Naoki Nakagawa wins the first set. It will resolve to “Matsuda” if Koki Matsuda wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

Trade this market

Live book
Est. shares≈ 5,555
If Nakagawa wins$5,555.56 +22,122%

Orders fill on Polymarket's live book from your Polyguana wallet.

Prefer Polymarket? Open this market
Quality39/100Poor
Spread0.9%Tight
Depth ±2%$1.3KThin
FreshnessLivereal-time
24h volume$45matched
Liquidity$3.2Kbook depth

Event cluster

Related markets

6
ITF Tokyo: Naoki Nakagawa vs Koki Matsuda

ITF Tokyo: Naoki Nakagawa vs Koki Matsuda

ITF Tokyo: Naoki Nakagawa vs Koki Matsuda$31.1K

99.95%
Naoki Nakagawa vs. Koki Matsuda: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Naoki Nakagawa vs. Koki Matsuda: Total Sets O/U 2.5

ITF Tokyo: Naoki Nakagawa vs Koki Matsuda$88

100%
Nakagawa vs. Matsuda: Match O/U 22.5

Nakagawa vs. Matsuda: Match O/U 22.5

ITF Tokyo: Naoki Nakagawa vs Koki Matsuda$52

99.55%
Nakagawa vs. Matsuda: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

Nakagawa vs. Matsuda: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

ITF Tokyo: Naoki Nakagawa vs Koki Matsuda$25

99.55%
Set Handicap: Nakagawa (-1.5) vs Matsuda (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Nakagawa (-1.5) vs Matsuda (+1.5)

ITF Tokyo: Naoki Nakagawa vs Koki Matsuda$23

100%
ITF Men Tokyo: Completed Match: Naoki Nakagawa vs Koki Matsuda

ITF Men Tokyo: Completed Match: Naoki Nakagawa vs Koki Matsuda

ITF Tokyo: Naoki Nakagawa vs Koki Matsuda$20

99.55%