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Networkpm.wiki↗canton.wiki↗perp.wiki↗
ArchiveThis prediction market resolved Jul 9, 2026 on Polymarket.See where it's trading now ↓
Resolved answer·What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit Week of July 6 2026?·#2788207

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $630 Week of July 6 2026?

Yes
Final answerResolved Jul 9, 2026

A surprise — the market leaned against Yes (20.15% confidence) right before it settled.

“Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $630 Week of July 6 2026?” resolved Yes on Jul 9, 2026, after $7.0K traded on Polymarket. It is part of the What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit Week of July 6 2026? event family.

ResolvedJul 9, 2026
Volume$7.0K
Archive coverageCurve + partial book
Open original marketOpen resolution sourceOpen filing sourceBrowse related resolved
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $630 Week of July 6 2026?
Market imageYes
Last observed Yes20.15% (20.15¢)
01 / 04Movement

Movement

How opinion moved into resolution

The market sat near 2.5% before it climbed to 100% into settlement — a 98-point move.

Yes 20.2¢ALL-59.7%
0¢16¢32¢47¢63¢7/47/67/67/77/87/97/9Lowest pointSharp moveSettled

Last observed Yes

20.15% (20.15¢)

Settled result

Yes

Trending live markets · FinanceThe archive shows how this settled — here is what the crowd is trading now.
Fed rate hike in 2026?Trending in Finance61.5%+6.0%$119.1KTrade on Polyguana →Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Trending in Finance47.5%-18.0%$95.4KTrade on Polyguana →Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Trending in Finance11%-4.5%$75.9KTrade on Polyguana →
02 / 04Context

Context

Benchmark and filing context

The resolved archive connects final outcome, price path, preserved book quality, and source context so the market can be read as a public forecast record rather than just a final Yes/No label.

Official finance referencesource linked

Official filings and issuer records are preferred over market chatter for finance-resolution context.

Open filing source
Crowd state
TrackedRead the final outcome together with the archived movement path and related market family.
Public anchor
Official finance referenceOfficial filings and issuer records are preferred over market chatter for finance-resolution context.
Resolved
Jul 9, 2026Yes settlement with $7.0K traded before close.
Closing book partialOrder book

The archive preserved partial settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and liquidity not preserved.

Spike signal
55 ptsThe preserved anchor-to-close move is large enough to read as a material reprice.
Spread
0.1¢Last archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Liquidity
MissingThe archive did not preserve final liquidity for this market.
Curve
24 pointsEnough preserved points to render price development.
03 / 04Evidence

Evidence

What the archive still preserves

This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.

Source

Resolved checkpoint

Last refreshed

July 9, 2026 at 6:00 PM UTC

State

Primary · fresh · fresh cache

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Resolution source

UMA oracle

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

CheckpointValueSourceDetail
Observed prices
First archived price50% (50¢)ObservedEarliest preserved observation in the resolved-market archive.
24h before settle34% (34¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one day before the official settlement time.
1h before settle20.15% (20.15¢)ObservedCheckpoint preserved around one hour before the official settlement time.
Last observed price20.15% (20.15¢)ObservedClosest archived market price before settlement.
Close certainty79.85%ObservedHow one-sided the market looked at the close based on the last archived price.
Surprise score14 ptsObservedAbsolute move from the stored anchor into the final observed pre-settlement price.
Closing book
Closing spread0.1¢ObservedLast archived bid-ask spread before settlement.
Settlement
Resolution sourceUMA oracleObservedThis market carried UMA-linked metadata, but the archive did not retain a market-specific oracle URL.Open source
Public contextOfficial finance referenceObservedOfficial filings and issuer records are preferred over market chatter for finance-resolution context.Open filing source
04 / 04Continue

Continue

Continue through the resolved archive

Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.

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