Movement
Consensus lock into resolution
The market priced Yes as near-certain throughout and never seriously wavered — this was consensus confirmation, not a late swing.
Last observed Yes
99.95% (99.95¢)
Settled result
Yes
How accurate was the crowd? The crowd called it — 99.95% confident in Yes just before settlement.
Context
Schedule and result context
The archived market shows broad crowd agreement into settlement rather than a late information shock. $7.7K traded before settlement, so the useful context is the resolved outcome, official source path, and related market family.
Use the original market page for rules text when no standalone resolution source was preserved.
Open marketThe archive preserved settlement-adjacent book quality: 0.1¢ spread and $103.5K closing liquidity.
Evidence
What the archive still preserves
This ledger separates observed prices, settlement facts, and stored notes so you can tell what was actually archived before the market resolved.
Source
Resolved checkpoint
Last refreshed
July 1, 2026 at 10:30 AM UTC
State
Primary · fresh · fresh cache
Ranking logic
/research/methodologyResolution source
Polymarket settlement record
Data caveat
Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision
Continue
Continue through the resolved archive
Keep moving through the same family, event, topic, or entity instead of dead-ending after one settlement page.
Browse the full resolved archive