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Set 2 Winner: Balan vs Davies

Set 2 Winner: Balan vs Davies

100% implied probability — Balan leads

Resolution date: July 3, 2026 at 7:00 AM UTC

Event cluster: ITF Galati: Sara Victoria Balan vs Allegra Korpanec Davies

Topic: Games

24-hour volume: $0

Total liquidity: $5.3K

Resolution criteria: This market refers to the tennis match between Sara Victoria Balan and Allegra Korpanec Davies in the ITF Galati, originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Balan” if Sara Victoria Balan wins set 2. It will resolve to “Davies” if Allegra Korpanec Davies wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

Related markets from this event:

  • ITF Galati: Sara Victoria Balan vs Allegra Korpanec Davies
  • Set 1 Winner: Balan vs Davies
  • Sara Victoria Balan vs. Allegra Korpanec Davies: Total Sets O/U 2.5
  • Set Handicap: Balan (-1.5) vs Davies (+1.5)
  • Balan vs. Davies: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Last refreshed: June 28, 2026 at 8:49 PM UTC

Back to markets

Source

supabase-shell

Last refreshed

Jun 28, 2026, 8:49 PM UTC

State

Primary · live · primary

Ranking logic

/research/methodology

Data caveat

Thin books and wide spreads can distort price precision

Market read · polling·Sports

Set 2 Winner: Balan vs Davies

The crowd puts Balan at 99.95% · updated 6h ago · fair book

Lead probability
99.95%
Balan
40/100Fair

Probability tape

Probability over time

Polling
Spread0.1%Tight
Depth ±2%$2.1KThin
Freshness6h agoStale
24h volume$0matched
Liquidity$5.3Kbook depth
updated 6h agoresolves Jul 3, 2026methodologyNear median for Sports markets
What moved this marketrecent signals

Official schedule window and game-status watch

Schedule

Event cluster

Related markets

6
ITF Galati: Sara Victoria Balan vs Allegra Korpanec Davies

ITF Galati: Sara Victoria Balan vs Allegra Korpanec Davies

ITF Galati: Sara Victoria Balan vs Allegra Korpanec Davies$946

99.95%
Set 1 Winner: Balan vs Davies

Set 1 Winner: Balan vs Davies

ITF Galati: Sara Victoria Balan vs Allegra Korpanec Davies$76

100%
Sara Victoria Balan vs. Allegra Korpanec Davies: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Sara Victoria Balan vs. Allegra Korpanec Davies: Total Sets O/U 2.5

ITF Galati: Sara Victoria Balan vs Allegra Korpanec Davies$2

100%
Set Handicap: Balan (-1.5) vs Davies (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Balan (-1.5) vs Davies (+1.5)

ITF Galati: Sara Victoria Balan vs Allegra Korpanec Davies$2

100%
Balan vs. Davies: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Balan vs. Davies: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

ITF Galati: Sara Victoria Balan vs Allegra Korpanec Davies$0

100%
Balan vs. Davies: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5

Balan vs. Davies: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5

ITF Galati: Sara Victoria Balan vs Allegra Korpanec Davies$0

100%

Outcome book

Best quotes

Top 2

Balan

99.95¢

Davies

0.05¢

View on Polymarket

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Research brief

About this market

low confidence

Set 2 Winner: Balan vs Davies The lead outcome is Balan at 100%. No high-confidence external driver has been matched yet, so the brief leans on rules, timing, and current pricing. Resolution still depends heavily on the market rules text because no standalone canonical source URL is pinned yet. Watch next: Watch for changes around the scheduled end date because the market is currently set to resolve near 7/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM.

1 sourcesUpdated 1d ago

Resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Sara Victoria Balan and Allegra Korpanec Davies in the ITF Galati, originally scheduled for June 26, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Balan” if Sara Victoria Balan wins set 2. It will resolve to “Davies” if Allegra Korpanec Davies wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.

Watch next

Watch for changes around the scheduled end date because the market is currently set to resolve near 7/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM.

Jul 3, 2026

Key uncertainty

No standalone canonical resolution URL is pinned yet.

More: edge cases, catalysts

Edge cases

  • This market will resolve to “Balan” if Sara Victoria Balan wins set 2.
  • It will resolve to “Davies” if Allegra Korpanec Davies wins set 2.
  • If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent catalysts

  • Official schedule window and game-status watch — Schedule